Omar Mendoza, your insurance advisor
Updated August 2026

Obamacare 2027: what's at stake right now

Three unresolved issues that decide what you'll pay next year.

I'll be straight with you: as of today nobody knows for certain what your insurance will cost in 2027. Not because it's a mystery, but because three things are still open — two in Congress and one in the courts — and none of them are settled. Here's where each one stands, plainly, and what makes sense to do in the meantime.

1. The enhanced subsidies already expired. The fight is over bringing them back

Let's start with what's already a fact: the enhanced subsidies expired on January 1, 2026. It isn't a future threat — it already happened, and you're already paying for it.

They're what made a great many families pay $0 or close to it. Without them, back comes the "400% cliff": if you earn above 400% of the federal poverty level, you lose the subsidy all at once.

That said, Congress hasn't closed the book on it:

What happenedWhenWhere it landed
The Senate votes on an extension through 2028 2025 Fell short of the 60 votes needed
The House passes an extension of three years January 8, 2026 Passed 230 to 196, with 17 Republicans in favor
Goes to the Senate Since then Still no vote; seen as unlikely
Negotiations on the CARE Act, a middle path Ongoing A two-year extension, with income caps and a minimum premium
What it means in practice

No extension has become law. One could arrive later in 2026 attached to other legislation, or it might not arrive at all. Plan around today's rules, not the ones you're hoping for.

2. The enrollment dates are in the courts

A federal rule was going to close enrollment for everyone on December 15. A federal judge vacated it in June 2026 and the government appealed in July. Until it's resolved, this is the calendar:

Those two dates get mixed up constantly, and the confusion costs a month without insurance.

And take note if you live in Georgia: the state has its own marketplace, Georgia Access, with its own calendar. Florida uses HealthCare.gov. It isn't the same process.

3. Premiums are rising, but not equally for everyone

This is where people go wrong most: they read a headline with a percentage and assume it applies to them.

StateIncrease for 2027Receive help
Georgia20.7% on average89% · $688/mo average
Florida3.9% to 39.1% depending on the carrierover 95% · $740/mo average

Look at Florida: the gap between the carrier that raises least and the one that raises most is 35 points. Staying on your plan without reviewing it can cost you hundreds of dollars a year out of pure inertia.

And those percentages are before the subsidy. In Florida, 34% of enrollees pay less than $10 a month after help. The headline and your bill are not the same thing.

So what should I do?

With so much unresolved, the temptation is to wait. That's exactly the wrong move.

What not to do

Canceling your insurance because you got a high price, without comparing first. It's the most expensive decision there is, and the one I see most often.

Want to know how it affects you?

I'll review your specific case under today's rules, free and with no obligation. I work in Georgia, Florida and four more states.

Message me on WhatsApp Or take the 3-question quiz ›

Keep reading